Humans are tribal creatures. Much of modern life makes us less social and tribal and therefore less happy. Outside threats such as wars tend to strengthen social bonds.
The prosecutor’s fallacy and base rate fallacy are related ideas that both involve conditional probabilities. The prosecutor’s fallacy mixes up the probability that someone matches, given their innocence, with the probability that someone is innocent, given a match. You don’t care about the first probability – you already know there is a match.
There is a lot of bullshit out there, probably more than you think. It takes a lot more work to refute bullshit than to create it. Bergstrom and West describe how to spot some of the most common ways to spot bullshit so you can call it out.
Steal Like An Artist is a short book that encourages you to just start creating. Don’t worry about whether your work is original (nothing is, anyway) or if it’s any good. You will learn more about who you are through creating and sharing your work.
The main thrust of Political Tribes is that group identities based on things like ethnicity, religion and skin color are very important but the US has often failed to recognise this in its foreign policy.