Decision Hygiene
Decision hygiene helps you make better decisions. It’s like washing your hands in that it’s good practice but you don’t know what errors you avoid by doing it.
Category: Book Summary
Objective Ignorance
Objective ignorance is the idea that many things on which the future depends simply cannot be known.Objective ignorance is higher the longer into the future a prediction is. The future is messy and minor events can have large consequences. Many things are just unknowable.
Book Summary: Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke
Poker is a game of decision-making under conditions of uncertainty over time. Poker is like life and decisions are like bets. Thinking in bets can therefore help you make better decisions in life.
How to Reduce Noise and Objections to Reducing Noise
A summary of the methods for reducing noise, and common objections to doing so, in the book Noise by Kahneman, Sibony and Sunstein.
Book Summary: Noise by Kahneman, Sibony and Sunstein
There is noise in many areas, more than you think. This book explains the different types of noise, how to measure it, and how to reduce it. There are many examples with citations.
Book Summary: Show Your Work by Austin Kleon
Show Your Work encourages you to share your unfinished work, your processes, and your influences. And to do it regularly.
Book Summary: Tribe by Sebastian Junger
Humans are tribal creatures. Much of modern life makes us less social and tribal and therefore less happy. Outside threats such as wars tend to strengthen social bonds.
Prosecutor’s Fallacy and Base Rate Fallacy
The prosecutor’s fallacy and base rate fallacy are related ideas that both involve conditional probabilities. The prosecutor’s fallacy mixes up the probability that someone matches, given their innocence, with the probability that someone is innocent, given a match. You don’t care about the first probability – you already know there is a match.
Book Summary: Calling Bullshit by Bergstrom and West
There is a lot of bullshit out there, probably more than you think. It takes a lot more work to refute bullshit than to create it. Bergstrom and West describe how to spot some of the most common ways to spot bullshit so you can call it out.
Book Summary: Steal Like An Artist by Austin Kleon
Steal Like An Artist is a short book that encourages you to just start creating. Don’t worry about whether your work is original (nothing is, anyway) or if it’s any good. You will learn more about who you are through creating and sharing your work.